Simulation output

Ressource use

This output panel shows how many ressources are allocated at any time during the epidemic.



Work loss P (red curve) displays the number of individuals who do not go to work because at any time of the epidemic (i.e. this depicts the "prevalence" of work loss at a given time). Note, that this curve shows only the work loss which is directly due to sickness, but does not consider reasons which indirectly contribute to the work loss (e.g. taking care of sick people, closing of factories, break-down of public transportation etc.).
Outpatients I (dark blue curve) displays the number of daily influenza patients who seek medical help because they are severely sick (i.e. this curve can be interpreted as the "incidence" of influenza patients seekin medical help). Note, that this curve only considers influenza patients with severe symptoms and assumes exactly one doctoral visit per patient.
Hospital beds P (green curve) displays the number of hospitalized patients at any given time (i.e. this curve can be interpreted as the "prevalence" of occupied hospital beds at any given time).
Antivirals I (yellow curve) displays how many antiviral treatment courses are out given during each day of the epidemic (the simulation does not consider prophylactic treatment). An abrupt drop in the green curve indicates the day when the antiviral stockpile is exhausted.
Deaths I (magenta curve) displays how many people die on each day because of influenza.

Cross-references

The curve of Work loss P mainly depends on the fraction of infections which lead to severe disease, and on the corresponding duration of sickness and convalescence. As the duration of disease can be reduced by antiviral treatment, the work loss can be reduced by treatment.
The curve of Outpatients I mainly depends on the fraction of infections which lead to severe disease, and on the time when such cases seek medical help.
The curve of occupied Hospital beds P mainly depends on the fraction of infections which need hospitalization (which also depends on the fraction of severe cases, and on the corresponding duration of sickness. Both, the duration of disease and the fraction of hospitalizations can be reduced by antiviral treatment, so that hospital bed occupation can be reduced by treatment.
The curve of distribution of Antivirals I mainly depends on the treatment of severe and extremely severe cases and on the availability of antiviral drugs.


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