Using stochastic computer simulations, we studied the spread of smallpox and possible intervention schemes.
It could be shown that (for a wide range of parameters) smallpox outbreaks can be controlled by contact tracing and case isolation.
We provide a publicly accessible simulation program which allows to investigate how effectively a smallpox outbreak can be controlled by case isolation and contact tracing alone.
Eberhard-Karls-University Tübingen,
Tübingen University Hospital,
the Department for Medical Biometry (IMB),
and the authors of this page disclaim all liability for the content of any page referenced by hyper-link from this page